Universidad César Vallejo, Departamento de posgrado. Lima, Perú
Universidad Tecnológica del Perú, Departamento de posgrado. Lima, Perú
Universidad San Martín de Porres, Departamento de posgrado. Lima, Perú
Universidad César Vallejo, Departamento de posgrado. Lima, Perú
Universidad Nacional San Luis Gonzaga, Departamento de Administración. Ica, Perú
Universidad César Vallejo, Departamento de posgrado. Lima, Perú
Universidad Nacional Autónoma Altoandina de Tarma, Departamento de investigación. Junín, Perú
Universidad José Carlos Mariátegui, Departamento de Contabilidad. Moquegua, Perú
Universidad Nacional de Moquegua, Departamento de investigación. Moquegua, Perú
Universidad Nacional de Moquegua, Departamento de investigación. Moquegua, Perú
Objetive: this article analyzes the possible future of Peruvian microenterprises for the year 2030 for their insertion into the Industrial 4.0.
Methods: the research will be based on a mixed, descriptive, prospective, non-experimental, longitudinal approach. The sampling will be based on stratified sampling theories based on criteria, where the sample will be divided into two moments: the first moment will consist of the incorporation of 25 Peruvian micro-companies of the commercial sector that constitute the same business line. Consequently, for the qualitative approach, 5 experts belonging to these organizations will be considered. The Environmental Scanning technique was used for the key variables, the Delphi survey where the validated and prioritized variables were taken into consideration and the Peter Schwats axes were used to identify future process scenarios; and finally, for the construction of the future, the IGO matrix for trend analysis will be used.
Results: understanding the current context in which Peruvian microenterprises operate, as well as the variety of future scenarios, was feasible thanks to the prospective technique used to investigate their prospects in 2030.
Conclusions: many Peruvian microenterprises face difficulties of low productivity and low competitiveness, which hampers their ability to contribute to the country's economic and social development.
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